Many Endangered or Lost Species, but Some Extinctions Are Inevitable


Opinion by Paul Revere 
Many believe  – among them ecologists – believe the world is beset with a massive extinction, the sixth mass extinction which comprises the five previous catastrophic events over the past 600 million years, during which up to 95 percent of the planet’s species disappeared.  That is according to Yale Environment in the US but with a note of caution about such assumptions.
But as it warns, “we may very well be. But recent studies have cited extinction rates that are extremely fuzzy and vary wildly.”
The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, which involved more than a thousand experts, estimated an extinction rate that was later calculated at up to 8,700 species a year, or 24 a day. More recently, scientists at the U.N. Convention on Biological Diversity concluded that “Every day, up to 150 species are lost.” That could be as much as 10 percent a decade.
Computer Modeling
But nobody knows whether such estimates are anywhere close to reality. They are based on computer modeling, and documented losses are tiny by comparison. Only about 800 extinctions have been documented in the past 400 years, according to data held by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN). Out of some 1.9 million recorded current or recent species on the planet, that represents less than a tenth of one percent.”
Nor is there much documented evidence of accelerating loss says Yale Environment.
In its latest update, released in June, the IUCN reported “no new extinctions,” although last year it reported the loss of an earwig on the island of St. Helena and a Malaysian snail. And some species once thought extinct have turned out to be still around.
“Doc” Orbell
Of course there was the notable New Zealand  example of the takahe or notornis which deerstalker the late Dr Geoffrey Orbell discovered in a remote valley in Fiordland.
But often missed by those adding to the “endangered” list is that loss of species can be a natural occurrence. An estimated 99% of all species that existed have become extinct.
It has to do with fitness for survival in changing ecosystems/habitats.
The changes that occur – which may be natural for example natural climate change resulting in changes to habitat or human activities of exploitation  – favour the survival of some species and the decline and extinction of other species.
BC Doc Orbell.jpeg
“Doc” Orbell in retirement years. Photo Tony Orman
Pre-European Losses
It is true that human activities cause changes to ecosystems that favour the survival of some species and are detrimental to that of others. For example nine species of moa  disappeared in the wake of human arrival. also the giant Haast Eagle went into oblivion as did other species such as adzebills, endemic geese, teal, snipe, rails and others.
It is very unlikely that humans will stop growing in numbers (increasing demand for resources) and mining things to live and support the economic “system” of consumerism so ongoing effects on ecosystems are inevitable and “natural”.
Emotions – Not Facts?
Perhaps the opinions of some people about extinctions of species and the consequences might be based more on emotions than factual evidence.
The NZ assumption that introduced species have to be eradicated in order to enable the survival of “indigenous” ones might not be as valid as the propaganda encourages us to believe.
For example trout were introduced and native fish coexist with them despite hysteria calling trout “invasive predators.” True they do predate on other species such as whitebait, aquatic invertebrates such as caddis and mayflies. But nature settles into a new equilibrium following introduction of a species. In the case of trout young trout are preyed on by native eels and native cormorants (shags).
Brown trout – asset in 21st Century ecosystem   photo Tony Orman
Habitat Key
Habitat regulates populations, i.e. the carrying capacity of the habitat. Deer were introduced, arguably replacing the ecosystem’s browsing component of moa and other avian browsers as some scientists have observed. A study in the late 1950s by an American scientist Thane Riney employed by the NZ Forest Service, of a remote area in Fiordland that had virtually never been hunted showed the herd had reached and over-stepped the carrying capacity of the habitat, and then “crashed” downwards to a much lower level within the dictates of the carrying capacity. 
It represented the classic graph  “bell curve” of rise and fall to a lower, stable level of a species.
The phobic furore about introduced species is not practical. It is a very selective argument. For example those afflicted with the dislike – even amounting to hatred – of introduced species, conveniently ignore farm stock, garden plants, pasture species and beneficial introductions like bumble bees.
What its needed is a common-sense, practical approach based on the realisation we live in a naturally evolving 21st century ecosystem if which humans are just one species.
And ecosystems will continue to evolve.
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3 Responses to Many Endangered or Lost Species, but Some Extinctions Are Inevitable

  1. Desmond Neill says:

    Global economic development and new technologies may have greatly improved many aspects of human well-being, but have also extended the reach of human activity further into the natural world than ever before. This article is both perceptive and realistic whereas some of the thinking of conservation departments and psuedo-green organisations is unrealistic or based on ideologies..

  2. Peter Trolove President NZFFA says:

    The part that “Habitat is Key” is so right.
    Earlier Acclimatization Societies knew this to be so and fought hard to preserve habitat for New Zealand’s fish and game resource.
    Fish & Game have not always been as dedicated as was the case with the Hearing to amend the Rakaia River NWCO.
    In this case NC F&G changed their position from being against the Lake Coleridge Project to being for the Project.
    The extra water abstracted for irrigation as a result of the Project has largely destroyed the once prolific sea-trout fishery in the Lower Rakaia River.
    NC F&G are now belatedly making amends as co-respondents in a forthcoming case in the Environment Court where the Canterbury Regional Council (Ecan) is seeking a declaration that Ecan is not responsible for giving effect to WCOs in Canterbury.
    Ecan’s track record since the enactment of the Ecan Act 2010 indeed evidence that Ecan has not given effect to Canterbury’s WCOs since 2010.
    Thousands of hectares of the Rakaia River margins have been lost to agricultural encroachment, consents have been issued for adjacent landowners to turn over the
    braid beds, temporarily diverting major braids, and excavating shingle to build berms to protect the encroached land.
    Massive amounts of habitat both at the river margins and in the riverbed itself have been destroyed in the process.
    This is why NZFFA is participating as an “interested party”. (S. 274 of the RMA).
    This is why NZFFA is seeking donations help help our modest society pay its legal costs.

  3. R. Bregmare says:

    I agree 110% with Mr Revere’s opposition to the stupidity of the anti-introduced phobia. The DoC, Green Party and Forest and Bird promote this wacky thinking.

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